LME aluminum prices bottomed out on June 30, the lowest price reached 1920 US dollars / ton, the highest rushed to 1982 US dollars / ton, the end of the market closed at 1969 US dollars / ton, a slight increase of 1.08%. Positions decreased to 748,298 and stocks decreased by 5,475 to 44,280,075. The domestic spot price of aluminum is 14430-14470 yuan / ton.
Analysts said that due to the increase in costs, the downward price of the price has pushed down the profit margin of electrolytic aluminum companies. With concerns about the economic situation and the downward trend of aluminum prices, the reduction of production in the electrolytic aluminum industry will gradually occur in the future, and the rate may accelerate.
At present, Henan has reported news of reduced production of electrolytic aluminum. According to industry insiders, the country, including Shandong, Henan, Hubei, Heilongjiang, Guangxi, etc., can understand that the actual production reduction is about 500,000 tons, and more companies have shown their intention to reduce production, and this part of the production reduction intention is likely to be It took place in July-September.
The reduction in electrolytic aluminum has resulted in a reduction in demand for upstream raw material alumina, which is the main reason why Chinalco has continuously lowered the spot price of alumina.
Jinhui Futures believes that the electrolytic aluminum and alumina industries will usher in structural adjustment in the future. In the future, resource-based provinces and cost-producing provinces will increase their production capacity, while the existing cost-free electrolytic aluminum production capacity will be squeezed. Out of the market. This will help improve the current overcapacity situation and benefit the aluminum market.
Some brokerage analysts pointed out that the spot price of electrolytic aluminum in Shanghai has risen to over 17,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year, but the apparent consumption of domestic electrolytic aluminum has declined in April, and since May, it has been affected by macro-environment at home and abroad, and the prices of basic metals and other commodities. The continuous decline has made the current spot price of the domestic electrolytic aluminum market unable to cover the production cost of up to 15,000-15500 yuan for the average cost of electrolytic aluminum.
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