Shi Lishan, deputy director of the New Energy and Renewable Energy Division of the National Energy Administration, believes that in the future China will be based on 300 million kilowatts of nuclear power, with 500 million kilowatts of hydropower as its adjustment, with 500 million kilowatts of wind power and 1 billion kilowatts of solar power being important. The source of power generation is supplemented by 500 million kilowatts of coal.
The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†proposes that in the coming years, China will vigorously develop renewable energy, reduce the proportion of traditional energy sources based on fossil fuels in the energy structure, actively develop and utilize new energy, and realize China’s energy structure. The transformation. What is the evolution trend of China's energy structure in the future? At the “Energy, Economics, and Development†forum held on the 23rd, the answer given by experts and officials on energy issues in China is that electricity will play an important role in China’s energy transition.
The evolution of China's energy structure At present, all countries are studying the development of new energy and low-carbon technologies to combat climate change. Wu Hao, deputy director of the National Energy Administration, believes that in this new international energy structure, China's energy development presents four new trends: more energy extraction in the west, gradual slowing of energy growth, continuous optimization of energy structure, and more diverse energy sources. .
Last year, China consumed 3.25 billion tons of standard coal, ranking the first in the world. Shi Lishan, deputy director of the New Energy and Renewable Energy Division of the National Energy Administration, believes that China's energy consumption growth rate will slow down in the future, but the total amount will continue to increase. By 2040, it may consume 6 billion tons of standard coal, and the power generation capacity will consist of The current 1 billion kilowatts have grown to about 3 billion kilowatts. He believes that by then the energy structure will be more optimized, and renewable energy power generation will replace the dominant position of coal power. "It will be based on 300 million kilowatts of nuclear power, with 500 million kilowatts of hydropower as its main source, with 500 million kilowatts of wind power and 1 billion kilowatts of solar power as an important source of power, supplemented by 500 million kilowatts of coal."
According to Ge Zhengxiang, the director of the Ministry of Science and Technology of the State Grid Corporation of China, in the future, China's energy structure will present the characteristics of “clean energy structure, base for energy development, cross-regional energy transfer, and national energy balanceâ€.
Zhang Yunzhou, dean of the State Grid Energy Research Institute, believes that China's future energy flow will still show the overall pattern of “from west to east†and “from north to southâ€, but the distance and number of flows will be significantly expanded, which will require more coal. Fossil energy such as oil and gas is converted to electricity to facilitate transportation.
The central position of electricity will further highlight the reduction of energy consumption is the current and future economic and social development of the urgent needs of energy use, "in the future of the new energy structure, the power of the center will be further highlighted." State Grid Corporation deputy general manager Wang Min believes With the rapid development of clean energy such as hydropower, nuclear power, wind power, and solar energy in China, there will be more and more primary energy conversion to electrical energy use. At the same time, the share of electricity in terminal energy consumption will also continue to rise.
According to a report from the State Grid Energy Research Institute, by 2020, non-fossil energy will account for 15% of China's primary energy consumption, reaching 770 million tons of standard coal, of which 84% of non-fossil energy will be converted to electricity for consumption. . As more coal and natural gas are converted into electricity and the use of electric vehicles is promoted, the share of electricity in terminal energy consumption will gradually increase from 20.9% in 2010 to 27.5% in 2020.
“The generation of electricity through wind and solar energy and the use of electricity to drive automobiles can replace a large amount of fossil fuels. The development of electricity will promote the development of renewable energy.†Wu Hao said that the development of electricity will reduce energy consumption per unit of GDP. Research shows that in China, the percentage of energy consumed in terminal energy consumption increases by one percentage point, and the energy intensity will drop by 6.2 percentage points.
Need to actively promote the hydropower project for the current development of the power industry encountered bottlenecks, academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Tsinghua University Professor Lu Qiang proposed that water use should become the "development strategy" first. He said that China is facing a non-renewable fossil energy crisis. With the upgrading of carbon dioxide emissions, the output cost per ton of coal will suddenly increase, and the prospects for thermal power will be poor. Large and medium-sized integrated hydropower project construction will affect China for 200 years.
He believes that the southwestern region, together with Fujian, Zhejiang, and Jiangxi provinces, will have at least 370 million kilowatts of installed capacity as a national-level key project, plus the northeast region, reaching 500 million kilowatts. The development of the Brahmaputra should now start immediately. Academician Lu Qiang also appealed to the existing system of “market coal and planned electricity†and hoped that the State Council will introduce reform measures as soon as possible. “If we do not rationalize the electricity price mechanism, we may form an oligarchy for local governments and coal companies, which will generate economic Destructive power."
The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†proposes that in the coming years, China will vigorously develop renewable energy, reduce the proportion of traditional energy sources based on fossil fuels in the energy structure, actively develop and utilize new energy, and realize China’s energy structure. The transformation. What is the evolution trend of China's energy structure in the future? At the “Energy, Economics, and Development†forum held on the 23rd, the answer given by experts and officials on energy issues in China is that electricity will play an important role in China’s energy transition.
The evolution of China's energy structure At present, all countries are studying the development of new energy and low-carbon technologies to combat climate change. Wu Hao, deputy director of the National Energy Administration, believes that in this new international energy structure, China's energy development presents four new trends: more energy extraction in the west, gradual slowing of energy growth, continuous optimization of energy structure, and more diverse energy sources. .
Last year, China consumed 3.25 billion tons of standard coal, ranking the first in the world. Shi Lishan, deputy director of the New Energy and Renewable Energy Division of the National Energy Administration, believes that China's energy consumption growth rate will slow down in the future, but the total amount will continue to increase. By 2040, it may consume 6 billion tons of standard coal, and the power generation capacity will consist of The current 1 billion kilowatts have grown to about 3 billion kilowatts. He believes that by then the energy structure will be more optimized, and renewable energy power generation will replace the dominant position of coal power. "It will be based on 300 million kilowatts of nuclear power, with 500 million kilowatts of hydropower as its main source, with 500 million kilowatts of wind power and 1 billion kilowatts of solar power as an important source of power, supplemented by 500 million kilowatts of coal."
According to Ge Zhengxiang, the director of the Ministry of Science and Technology of the State Grid Corporation of China, in the future, China's energy structure will present the characteristics of “clean energy structure, base for energy development, cross-regional energy transfer, and national energy balanceâ€.
Zhang Yunzhou, dean of the State Grid Energy Research Institute, believes that China's future energy flow will still show the overall pattern of “from west to east†and “from north to southâ€, but the distance and number of flows will be significantly expanded, which will require more coal. Fossil energy such as oil and gas is converted to electricity to facilitate transportation.
The central position of electricity will further highlight the reduction of energy consumption is the current and future economic and social development of the urgent needs of energy use, "in the future of the new energy structure, the power of the center will be further highlighted." State Grid Corporation deputy general manager Wang Min believes With the rapid development of clean energy such as hydropower, nuclear power, wind power, and solar energy in China, there will be more and more primary energy conversion to electrical energy use. At the same time, the share of electricity in terminal energy consumption will also continue to rise.
According to a report from the State Grid Energy Research Institute, by 2020, non-fossil energy will account for 15% of China's primary energy consumption, reaching 770 million tons of standard coal, of which 84% of non-fossil energy will be converted to electricity for consumption. . As more coal and natural gas are converted into electricity and the use of electric vehicles is promoted, the share of electricity in terminal energy consumption will gradually increase from 20.9% in 2010 to 27.5% in 2020.
“The generation of electricity through wind and solar energy and the use of electricity to drive automobiles can replace a large amount of fossil fuels. The development of electricity will promote the development of renewable energy.†Wu Hao said that the development of electricity will reduce energy consumption per unit of GDP. Research shows that in China, the percentage of energy consumed in terminal energy consumption increases by one percentage point, and the energy intensity will drop by 6.2 percentage points.
Need to actively promote the hydropower project for the current development of the power industry encountered bottlenecks, academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Tsinghua University Professor Lu Qiang proposed that water use should become the "development strategy" first. He said that China is facing a non-renewable fossil energy crisis. With the upgrading of carbon dioxide emissions, the output cost per ton of coal will suddenly increase, and the prospects for thermal power will be poor. Large and medium-sized integrated hydropower project construction will affect China for 200 years.
He believes that the southwestern region, together with Fujian, Zhejiang, and Jiangxi provinces, will have at least 370 million kilowatts of installed capacity as a national-level key project, plus the northeast region, reaching 500 million kilowatts. The development of the Brahmaputra should now start immediately. Academician Lu Qiang also appealed to the existing system of “market coal and planned electricity†and hoped that the State Council will introduce reform measures as soon as possible. “If we do not rationalize the electricity price mechanism, we may form an oligarchy for local governments and coal companies, which will generate economic Destructive power."
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