At present, the impact of the global financial crisis on the world economy has been diverging and deepening. The domestic and international environment facing economic growth in the Yangtze River Delta region in 2009 will become more complicated and severe. It is expected that the economic growth rate in the Yangtze River Delta region in 2009 will be in 2008. On the basis of continued decline.
The Beijing Academy of Social Sciences and the Social Sciences Literature Publishing House jointly held a regional economic seminar in Beijing. The conference released the 2009 regional blue book "2008-2009 China Regional Economic Development Report". On the basis of analyzing the current three factors that constrain the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta region, the Blue Book pointed out that the Yangtze River Delta region needs to transform its economic growth mode in a down-to-earth manner. The key point is that the economic development model of the Yangtze River Delta region should be transformed from investment and export-oriented to Investment, export, domestic demand and innovation coordination promoted, from the low-level industrial division of labor to the middle and high-end links of the industry chain.
The driving force of foreign trade has weakened sharply
Jing Tihua, editor-in-chief of the 2008-2009 China Regional Economic Development Report, told reporters that investment and exports have significantly weakened the driving force for economic growth, which is particularly evident in the Yangtze River Delta region. This is also the most important factor restricting the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta region.
In the first three quarters of 2008, the total fixed asset investment of the whole society in the Yangtze River Delta region increased by 17.5% year-on-year, an increase of 9.5 percentage points lower than the national total. The Blue Book pointed out that under the model of long-term investment to promote economic growth, the growth trend of such fixed asset investment in the Yangtze River Delta region will affect the growth momentum in the next few years.
In terms of exports, in the first three quarters of 2008, total exports in the region increased by 23.5% year-on-year, close to the national average. Considering that the Yangtze River Delta region is China's first open, large-scale and large-scale region, close to the national average means a huge decline in this regard.
In addition, the other two factors that seriously restrict the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta region are the increasing difficulties in production and operation of enterprises and the tight supply of factors.
Since the domestic macro environment has been severe since the beginning of last year, the business conditions of the enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta region continued to deteriorate in 2008, the growth rate of corporate profits declined, the loss of enterprises increased, and the loss-making enterprises and losses increased significantly year-on-year. In addition, affected by the financial crisis, by September 2008, the number of enterprises in Zhejiang Province that had been discontinued had reached 1,362, an increase of 402 from June, accounting for 2.6% of the total number of enterprises above designated size in Zhejiang. Among the bankrupt enterprises that have been discontinued, many are leading enterprises in the industry that have an impact in the local economy.
The tight supply of factors is mainly reflected in the fact that with the rapid growth of the new round of economy, since the beginning of last year, the supply of resources, such as land, labor, and energy, which supported the economic growth of the Yangtze River Delta region, has generally been tight. Moreover, the difficulty of financing for small and medium-sized enterprises is widespread in the Yangtze River Delta region, especially in Zhejiang Province. As a result of the impact of the international financial crisis, the domestic economic support capacity has been significantly weakened.
Enhance the economic development of key enterprises
Based on the above background, the Blue Book predicts that the GDP growth rate of the Yangtze River Delta in 2009 will be significantly reduced to 10.2%, and the GDP of Shanghai, Jiangsu and Zhejiang will increase by 9.2%, 11.8% and 8.5%, respectively. Compared with the growth rate in 2008, It will fall by 0.5, 0.7 and 1.6 percentage points respectively. Moreover, due to the continuous deterioration of the external environment, it is expected that the growth rate of foreign trade exports in the Yangtze River Delta region will fall from 15.1% last year to 15.5%.
The Blue Book pointed out that the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta region should be steady and progress, and the measures to maintain growth should be far and near. In terms of short-term effects, it is mainly to increase investment, stimulate domestic demand, and revitalize exports.
In terms of stabilizing foreign trade exports, we should further optimize and adjust the structure of export products and industrial structure, and improve the quality and added value of export products. Actively implement regional diversification of export products and ease the negative impact on export slowdown in developed countries by expanding export growth to emerging markets such as the Middle East, Russia, Latin America and Africa. Strengthen credit support for exporting SMEs.
In terms of solving enterprise difficulties, market-oriented, high-tech support, breaking geographical restrictions, and expanding and strengthening a number of large-scale enterprises and enterprise groups in the Yangtze River Delta region through independent alliances, mergers and acquisitions, and shareholdings, The support of enterprises will enhance the economic development of key enterprises. To strengthen the guidance of the development of difficult industries and enterprises, relevant departments should introduce measures to broaden financing channels, reduce the burden of corporate taxes and fees, build a service system, and enhance the competitiveness of enterprises, and maintain the growth vitality of SMEs.
From a medium- and long-term perspective, the Blue Book believes that the Yangtze River Delta region needs to transform its economic growth mode in a down-to-earth manner. The key point is that the economic development model of the Yangtze River Delta region should be transformed from investment and export-driven to investment, export, domestic demand and innovation. From the status of low-level industrial division of labor to grasp the middle and high-end links of the industrial chain. In the long run, the Yangtze River Delta region also needs to actively respond to the severe challenges of the transition of economic development.
The Beijing Academy of Social Sciences and the Social Sciences Literature Publishing House jointly held a regional economic seminar in Beijing. The conference released the 2009 regional blue book "2008-2009 China Regional Economic Development Report". On the basis of analyzing the current three factors that constrain the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta region, the Blue Book pointed out that the Yangtze River Delta region needs to transform its economic growth mode in a down-to-earth manner. The key point is that the economic development model of the Yangtze River Delta region should be transformed from investment and export-oriented to Investment, export, domestic demand and innovation coordination promoted, from the low-level industrial division of labor to the middle and high-end links of the industry chain.
The driving force of foreign trade has weakened sharply
Jing Tihua, editor-in-chief of the 2008-2009 China Regional Economic Development Report, told reporters that investment and exports have significantly weakened the driving force for economic growth, which is particularly evident in the Yangtze River Delta region. This is also the most important factor restricting the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta region.
In the first three quarters of 2008, the total fixed asset investment of the whole society in the Yangtze River Delta region increased by 17.5% year-on-year, an increase of 9.5 percentage points lower than the national total. The Blue Book pointed out that under the model of long-term investment to promote economic growth, the growth trend of such fixed asset investment in the Yangtze River Delta region will affect the growth momentum in the next few years.
In terms of exports, in the first three quarters of 2008, total exports in the region increased by 23.5% year-on-year, close to the national average. Considering that the Yangtze River Delta region is China's first open, large-scale and large-scale region, close to the national average means a huge decline in this regard.
In addition, the other two factors that seriously restrict the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta region are the increasing difficulties in production and operation of enterprises and the tight supply of factors.
Since the domestic macro environment has been severe since the beginning of last year, the business conditions of the enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta region continued to deteriorate in 2008, the growth rate of corporate profits declined, the loss of enterprises increased, and the loss-making enterprises and losses increased significantly year-on-year. In addition, affected by the financial crisis, by September 2008, the number of enterprises in Zhejiang Province that had been discontinued had reached 1,362, an increase of 402 from June, accounting for 2.6% of the total number of enterprises above designated size in Zhejiang. Among the bankrupt enterprises that have been discontinued, many are leading enterprises in the industry that have an impact in the local economy.
The tight supply of factors is mainly reflected in the fact that with the rapid growth of the new round of economy, since the beginning of last year, the supply of resources, such as land, labor, and energy, which supported the economic growth of the Yangtze River Delta region, has generally been tight. Moreover, the difficulty of financing for small and medium-sized enterprises is widespread in the Yangtze River Delta region, especially in Zhejiang Province. As a result of the impact of the international financial crisis, the domestic economic support capacity has been significantly weakened.
Enhance the economic development of key enterprises
Based on the above background, the Blue Book predicts that the GDP growth rate of the Yangtze River Delta in 2009 will be significantly reduced to 10.2%, and the GDP of Shanghai, Jiangsu and Zhejiang will increase by 9.2%, 11.8% and 8.5%, respectively. Compared with the growth rate in 2008, It will fall by 0.5, 0.7 and 1.6 percentage points respectively. Moreover, due to the continuous deterioration of the external environment, it is expected that the growth rate of foreign trade exports in the Yangtze River Delta region will fall from 15.1% last year to 15.5%.
The Blue Book pointed out that the economic development of the Yangtze River Delta region should be steady and progress, and the measures to maintain growth should be far and near. In terms of short-term effects, it is mainly to increase investment, stimulate domestic demand, and revitalize exports.
In terms of stabilizing foreign trade exports, we should further optimize and adjust the structure of export products and industrial structure, and improve the quality and added value of export products. Actively implement regional diversification of export products and ease the negative impact on export slowdown in developed countries by expanding export growth to emerging markets such as the Middle East, Russia, Latin America and Africa. Strengthen credit support for exporting SMEs.
In terms of solving enterprise difficulties, market-oriented, high-tech support, breaking geographical restrictions, and expanding and strengthening a number of large-scale enterprises and enterprise groups in the Yangtze River Delta region through independent alliances, mergers and acquisitions, and shareholdings, The support of enterprises will enhance the economic development of key enterprises. To strengthen the guidance of the development of difficult industries and enterprises, relevant departments should introduce measures to broaden financing channels, reduce the burden of corporate taxes and fees, build a service system, and enhance the competitiveness of enterprises, and maintain the growth vitality of SMEs.
From a medium- and long-term perspective, the Blue Book believes that the Yangtze River Delta region needs to transform its economic growth mode in a down-to-earth manner. The key point is that the economic development model of the Yangtze River Delta region should be transformed from investment and export-driven to investment, export, domestic demand and innovation. From the status of low-level industrial division of labor to grasp the middle and high-end links of the industrial chain. In the long run, the Yangtze River Delta region also needs to actively respond to the severe challenges of the transition of economic development.
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