Alumina supply continues to strain the price
It is understood that the current inventory of major alumina enterprises in Shandong, Henan and other places continues to be low, most of them show no goods and no quotation. The bullish sentiment on prices has caused some of the spot companies to reluctantly sell, suspend orders, and the spot price has steadily increased.
The effect of power limitation weakens the capacity of electrolytic aluminum to restart
With the gradual dilution of energy-saving and emission reduction, some of the electrolytic aluminum production capacity of the previous production reduction has recently been restarted, including some production capacity in Sanmenxia, ​​Jiaozuo and Guangxi, Henan, and the large-scale electrolytic aluminum plant in Southwest and Northwest China is gradually expanding and oxidizing. Aluminum demand and prices are strongly supported.
Henan completed the "Eleventh Five-Year" energy saving target
Recently, Henan Nonferrous Metals Industry Association announced that it will be included in the energy conservation action plan of the 14 key non-ferrous enterprises in Henan Province, which is included in the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†of 1000 key energy-consuming enterprises in China, and the energy-saving index of 2.181 million tons of standard coal will be taken by the end of 2009. Actually completed 2.257 million tons, 117.2% of the target; in the same period, 24 key non-ferrous metal enterprises in Henan Province's 300 key energy-consuming enterprises action plan, the 220,200 tons of standard coal energy-saving indicators, after assessment, all or according to the progress Excessive energy-saving tasks. As the results of energy conservation and emission reduction in Henan continue to advance, the requirements for electrolytic aluminum enterprises will be eased, and the capacity of electrolytic aluminum may recover slowly.
Alumina demand is optimistic about the increase in alumina capacity in the later period
It is understood that with the restart of electrolytic aluminum production capacity and the commissioning of new production capacity, the market demand for alumina later is generally optimistic, and some new production capacity is gradually put into production. For example, Yunnan Wenshan 800,000 tons alumina project is ready for production at the end of the year; Shanxi Okeda The 100,000 tons alumina project has been put into operation, and the second phase begins construction; the 1 million tons alumina project of Xiaoyi City Xing'an Chemical Phase I has been put into operation.
The supply of the port is tight, no goods, no deal
With the steady increase in the price of domestic alumina, imported alumina shows a priceless market. It is understood that the current supply of goods in the port is tight, and there are few transactions: First, in the context of the close price of alumina in the domestic and foreign markets, some aluminum plants have converted some imported alumina from the previous foreign resale to self-use due to the start-up materials. Second, the main sellers are out of stock, and the aluminum factories with imported goods are sold out and wait and see, and the willingness to raise prices is obvious.
Chinalco's price increase alumina price is supported
On November 10, Chinalco raised the price of alumina from 2,750 yuan/ton to 2,900 yuan/ton. The last price adjustment was in mid-August. In the past two months, the price of non-aluminum alumina has been steadily rising. From 2,700 yuan to more than 2,850 yuan, plus the long-term price of alumina in November has risen above 2,800 yuan / ton, the price of Chinalco has been raised this time, the price of non-aluminum alumina is raised in Chinalco. With the support, the spot transaction price will be gradually confirmed, and we expect the price to continue to rise in the future.
Market outlook
At the beginning of the month, when the price was stable and showed a slight upward trend, the transaction volume was large. At the same time, the large single transaction also further supported the steady upward trend of the price. As the price increase continued to expand, the market single transaction became more cautious, and the volume of transactions Decline and focus on small orders.
At present, the price of alumina has risen steadily. Under the support of factors such as low stocks, increased demand, and no goods at the port, the current price will soon be confirmed and accepted by the market, becoming the mainstream price. Alumina will still maintain a stable upward trend and will continue in the future. There is still room for further growth.
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