In the first half of the year, thermal power investment continued to decline. Power supply and demand were tight throughout the year . During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, “the scale of thermal power will be reasonably controlled†and “strictly control new and expanded coal-fired power stations in the eastern coastal areasâ€. Under the constraints of this policy, the scale of investment in thermal power and the growth rate of installed capacity in the first half of this year have all declined. Recently, the National Development and Reform Commission and the China Electricity Council released a report on the power operation in the first half of 2011. In the first half of the year, the national electricity consumption was 225.1 billion kWh, an increase of 12.2% year-on-year, exceeding the GDP growth rate of 9.6%. Driven by high-energy-consuming industries, electricity consumption in nine provinces (regions) has increased by more than 15%. According to the analysis of the National Development and Reform Commission, due to various factors such as rapid growth in demand, less water supply, and thermal power losses, the power supply and demand situation in East China, Central China, and the South is tight. In April and May, 8 and 11 provinces respectively adopted orderly electricity use measures, with a maximum power gap of 11 million kilowatts and 18 million kilowatts respectively. China Electricity Council's "National Electricity Supply and Demand and Economic Operation Situation Analysis and Forecast Report (first half of 2011)" predicts that the country's electricity consumption demand will continue to grow steadily in the second half of the year. The annual social power consumption is expected to be 4.7 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 12%. . The national power supply and demand situation is generally tight, and some regions continue to be tight and there is a period of power shortage. According to the information of the two departments of the National Development and Reform Commission and the China Electricity Council, high-energy-consuming industries are still the main force driving demand for electricity. The western regions such as Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia are the main positions of power consumption. The pace of investment in thermal power is slowed down by national policies and is being driven by the east. West transfer. The power market has been the most stressful in the past three years . On July 28, the State Grid announced that the national power generation volume on July 26th has set a new record for the seventh time this year. The daily power generation exceeded 15 billion kWh for the first time, reaching 15.096 billion kWh, an increase of 8.15 compared with the maximum in 2010. %. The National Development and Reform Commission said that in the second half of July, the national electricity consumption has begun to rise rapidly. Since January this year, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Guizhou have limited electricity every month. Jiangxi and Hunan have limited electricity except February. From January to June this year, the national power generation capacity was 2,216.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 13.5%. Among them, hydropower was 274.2 billion kWh, up 12.5% ​​year-on-year; thermal power was 1,843.3 billion kWh, up 12.5% ​​year-on-year; nuclear power was 41.4 billion kWh, up 24.2% year-on-year. High energy-consuming industries are still the main factor driving demand for electricity. According to statistics from the China Electricity Council, the electricity consumption of the secondary industry was 1,699.1 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%; the contribution rate to the growth of electricity consumption in the whole society was 73.8%. The electricity consumption of the four key industries was 748.2 billion kWh, an increase of 11.2% year-on-year; accounting for 33.2% of the total electricity consumption of the whole society. In June, industrial electricity consumption exceeded 300 billion kWh for the first time. The electricity consumption of steel, nonferrous metals, building materials and chemical industries accounted for 45% of industrial electricity consumption, and the proportion increased by 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. In this context, power shortages occurred in many provinces in the first half of the year. In East China, Central China, South China and other places, orderly power supply measures were adopted, and the maximum gap was close to 30 million kilowatts. From the situation of thermal power output, it can also be seen that the power market situation is grim. In the first half of the year, the average utilization rate of thermal power equipment in the country was 2,592 hours, the highest level since the same period in 2008. The power supply and demand situation is the most intense since 2008. From the provincial level, the electricity consumption in the western region increased the fastest in the first half of the year, reaching 15.8%. According to statistics from the China Electricity Council, the electricity consumption of the nine provinces in the country has increased by more than 15%, mostly in the west. They are Xinjiang (31.2%), Jiangxi (21.4%), Fujian (20.6%), Yunnan (19.3%), Ningxia (15.9%), Hainan (15.9%), Qinghai (15.6%), and Gansu (15.3%). Inner Mongolia (15.1%). China Electricity Council predicts that during the peak summer season, the country's highest power load will increase by about 14%, and the power supply and demand gaps in East China, North China, Central China, and South China will reach 30 million to 40 million kilowatts, while northeast, northwest, and western Inner Mongolia. The grid still has more than 20 million kilowatts of surplus installed capacity. The proportion of thermal power investment continued to decline At the 2011 National Energy Work Conference, the National Energy Administration clearly stated that during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, “the scale of thermal power will be reasonably controlled†and “strictly control new and expanded coal-fired power stations in the eastern coastal areasâ€. Under the constraints of this policy, the scale of investment in thermal power and the growth rate of installed capacity in the first half of this year have all declined. According to the National Development and Reform Commission, as of the end of June, the power generation equipment capacity of the national 6000 kW and above power plants was 96.66 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 10.5%. Among them, hydropower was 188.74 million kilowatts, up 8.7% year-on-year; thermal power was 72.48 million kilowatts, up 8.9% year-on-year; nuclear power was 10.82 million kilowatts, up 19.2% year-on-year; wind power was 37 million kilowatts, up 70.1% year-on-year. The National Development and Reform Commission said: "From the perspective of growth rate, the growth rate of power generation and thermal power installed capacity is low in the same period since 2006, only higher than the first half of 2009." Statistic data show that in the first half of the year, the national infrastructure added The installed capacity of power generation was 34.78 million kilowatts, which was 950,000 kilowatts more than the same period of the previous year. Among them, thermal power was 23.31 million kilowatts, which was 900,000 kilowatts less than the same period of the previous year, and the growth rate of thermal power installed was lower than the growth rate of electricity consumption. Among the above-mentioned new installed capacity of 34.78 million kilowatts, the newly installed capacity in the northwest region accounted for 21.5% of the national total, up 15% year-on-year; the installed capacity of new power generation in the east China region decreased by 13.9%. In addition, in the first half of the year, the national power project construction completed an investment of 150.1 billion yuan. Among them, the proportion of total investment in hydropower, nuclear power and wind power rose to 66.6%, an increase of 4.3 percentage points over the same period of the previous year, and the proportion of thermal power investment continued to decline. The pace of investment in thermal power has slowed down, and this change is considered by the power industry to be one of the important reasons for this year's “electricity shortageâ€. China Telecom's renewed coal-electricity coal-fired power dispute has always existed and is constantly upgrading. On the issue of the loss of electricity companies, electricity and coal have their own words. According to statistics from CEC, in the first half of the year, thermal power production enterprises lost 15.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.52 billion yuan; Huaneng, Datang, Huadian, Guodian and China Power Investment Corporation's five power generation groups had a total loss of 6.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.09 billion yuan. A power plant person has said with sorrow: "Because of the serious losses, power plant financing, loan credits are declining or even exhausted, and liquidity is seriously short. The funds for power generation and procurement of coal are difficult to guarantee." The CLP proposes to increase the market price of electricity. Economic adjustment means to suppress unreasonable power consumption and reduce the demand for electricity load during peak hours. For example, the implementation of the implementation plan for the electricity price of residential electricity will be introduced, and the incentives and penalties for the implementation of peak and peak peaks will be increased. According to this reporter, in addition to the electricity price policy, coal-electricity linkage is another policy appeal for power companies to turn losses. As a spokesperson for power plant interests, China Electricity Council believes that under the conditions that the reform of the electricity price system is not yet in place and the competitive power market has not yet been established, coal-electricity linkage is still an effective measure to resolve the contradiction between coal and electricity. The China Electricity Council again recommended to implement the coal-electricity linkage mechanism in a timely manner, and the linkage was in place while continuing to improve the mechanism. First, the triggering point should be more clear and clear; second, after several rounds of coal-electricity linkage, the part of the power generation enterprise that has digested by itself has no re-digestion ability, and it is recommended to cancel or adjust it. Under the current pattern, power generation companies have reduced their enthusiasm for power generation and their willingness to invest has declined. According to statistics from the coal industry, power generation in some provinces in the first half of the year has dropped by 70%, generally down 20%. The above-mentioned person said: "There are reasons for the loss of the power plant, and the intention of the power plant to seek price increases. The power plant in a province wants to smash the government, and the government has to pay for coal for the power plant."
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