Looking forward to the market trend of wood and wood-based panels in 2011

In the wood industry, the price of wood is soaring due to the impact of rising freight, labor, and raw material prices. In 2010, "price" climbed to the top of the "Top Ten Focused Issues of 2010", and prices rose rapidly across the country. In addition, the country's "land king" frequency, housing prices have risen against the market has also led to real estate in social turmoil.

In terms of log plates, whether it is precious redwood or common wood species, there have been different degrees of increase. For example, Dalbergia sorbifolia, selected in March, is reported to be 4000-8,000 yuan/kg, and the price has reached 9,000 to 11,000 yuan/kg by September; another example is Vietnam pear, which is driven by the investment boom and the price of Vietnam pears And rise. At the beginning of last year, the general material of Vietnam pear was reported to more than 300,000 yuan per ton. By May, the general price of Vietnam pear was reported at 500,000 yuan per ton. After October, the price was over 700,000 yuan per ton. In addition, the prices of common wood species such as bahua and rubber wood also rose rapidly. For example, at the beginning of the year, the price of Pahua plate has been reported to be around 12,000 yuan/cubic meter, and it has climbed to 15,000 yuan/cubic meter by October; the price of rubber wood has also risen by more than 500 yuan/cubic meter from the beginning of the year.

In terms of wood-based panels, after experiencing the turbulent turbulence of the financial tsunami and reshuffling, in March this year, a long-lost “ups” finally came. The prices of plywood, MDF, particle board, and finger-jointed panels began to turn up. After that, as the price of wood rose steadily, the trend of price increase for wood-based panels followed. The price of a few varieties even hit a record high.

However, due to the tightening of domestic forest resources, the impact on the wood-based panel market has been significant. For example, in the first quarter of this year, serious droughts occurred in five provinces and regions including Yunnan, Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, and Guizhou. Forest fires frequently occurred and a large number of pests and diseases were introduced, which seriously affected the normal supply of raw materials such as wood-based panels. In the fourth quarter, China experienced a large amount of rain and snow weather. The adverse weather affected the exploitation of logs and stimulated a substantial increase in raw material prices. Affected by the rise in raw material prices, the production of wood-based panel makers has started abnormal production in May this year.

On the floor, due to the increase in the price of floor blanks, the floor market situation this year is not gratifying, but the price of products has been lowered in disguise, and profits have been continuously reduced. The main reason is that under the strict control policy of the national property market, many consumers are in a wait-and-see attitude. As the floor market with the strongest dependence on the real estate industry, the overall sales volume in 2010 showed a declining trend, and the price of floor blanks is constantly increasing. Promote. In the downturn of the market, businesses are afraid to increase the floor price, so the profit of the floor is further compressed, and the business pressure is greater.

Looking ahead to the trend of the timber market in 2011, in Hongmu, although the country will continue to implement the property market regulation policy in 2011, the impact on mahogany furniture is slight. On the contrary, under such a strong policy, the mahogany furniture market will be a kind of Push effect. The main reason is that investors can withdraw funds from real estate investment and they are expected to switch to blue-chip furniture of “blue chip stocks”. Therefore, in 2011 for Hongmu, the market may continue to rise.

In addition, the demand for wood in the Chinese market is huge in 2011, and since more than 40% of the timber market in China is imported, the import of wood in China will continue to increase in 2011. Among them, regions rich in forest resources such as Russia, Africa, and South America will continue to be the main targets of China's timber imports.

In the field of wood-based panels, with the rapid development of the wood-based panel industry, the contradiction between the supply and demand of wood in China has been eased, and it has also become an important way to save wood resources, and it is also in line with the requirements of accelerating the establishment of a resource-saving society. The country’s policies and policies on expanding domestic demand, ensuring growth, adjusting structure, and strengthening people's livelihood will also promote the development of the wood-based panel industry. Under the low-carbon economy, man-made boards are the main way to solve the conflict between the strengthening of forest resources protection under the global warming environment, and the tension between wood supply and demand growth. It can be said that the wood-based panel industry is facing a new round of economic cycle. In the future, with the increase in residents' spending power, the change in consumer attitudes and the implementation of natural forest protection projects, the demand for wood-based panels in various industries such as decoration, furniture, packaging, shipbuilding, and automobiles will usher in a new peak of growth.