Event: At 6:05 pm on April 16th, Kang Yi, president of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, talked to CCTV Economic Channel about "Non-ferrous Metal Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan".
Kang Yi:
Comrade Xiaoping said that there are oil in the Middle East and rare earth in China. Rare earth metal is one of the most resource-rich metals in China. It is an important strategic material. It plays an important role in the national economy and plays a major role in national economic construction, high-tech industries, social development, or employment. Its domestic and international status, I want to use three figures to show: the non-ferrous metal industry added value of 780 billion, accounting for 1.9% of the country's total GDP, accounting for 4.5% of the country's 12.9 trillion industrial added value, China Non-ferrous metal production accounts for an average of more than 30% of global production and consumption.
Non-ferrous metals were one of the industries that were seriously affected by the financial crisis. I summarized them in four sentences. The first is the price collapse. After May last year, copper, aluminum, lead, zinc and nickel fell by 58%, 44 %, 32%, 32% and 78%; second, the market is shrinking; third, the company stopped production, semi-stop production, electrolytic aluminum stopped 3.5 million tons, accounting for 18% of the total industry capacity, alumina stopped 9 million tons , accounting for 38% of the total capacity, this number is quite large; Fourth, some industries lose money, aluminum, electrolytic aluminum industry losses, and another is zinc. In the non-ferrous metals industry, the investment is very big. To build a 100,000-ton electrolytic aluminum company, it will invest about 10 billion yuan, and such assets are now idle, giving people a feeling of how sad.
The formulation of the non-ferrous metal industry revitalization plan is of great significance. It is not only to deal with the financial crisis, but also to adjust the industrial structure of the whole industry, achieve industrial upgrading, and enhance the competitiveness of the whole industry. As far as I am concerned, I feel very encouraged and enhance our confidence in the industry.
The status quo of China's non-ferrous metals is 8,984 enterprises with the above-scale scale, the total assets reached 1.5 trillion, and the sales revenue exceeded 2 trillion yuan last year. In fact, it should be said that it accounts for one-third of production and consumption. As the current response to the crisis should be said to be a temporary measure, the effect of storage is very obvious, but the amount of storage may not be too large. Considering that it has a direct relationship with overcapacity, although it solves the temporary difficulties, if the total amount of control cannot be increased too fast, the benefits of purchasing and storage will soon be washed away by the release of capacity and excessive growth, so it must be strict. The two aspects of control, modest storage and control of production capacity, the real fundamental measures should be to control the excessive growth of production capacity, this is the fundamental policy.
The second item in the revitalization plan mentioned the backward production capacity that must strictly control the total amount and speed up the elimination. The structural adjustment mentioned here is a general structural adjustment. I also summed up in four sentences: total control, backward elimination, technological transformation, and corporate restructuring. I think the biggest highlight and core of this adjustment plan are these four aspects.
From the current statistics, China's aluminum backward production capacity is still 800,000 tons, copper's backward production capacity is 300,000 tons from smelting, lead and zinc add up to nearly 1 million tons, zinc is 400,000 tons, lead It is 600,000 tons. According to the revitalization planning requirements, these basics must be eliminated before 2011. This task is very arduous, involving the resettlement of personnel after the elimination of this enterprise, policy support, and some have to be converted, and some are industrial upgrading.
With the development of economic construction, China has become a big buyer of large raw materials for nonferrous metals in the world. China's rare earth reserves and supplies account for more than 90% of the world, but from 1990 to 2005, our rare earth exports increased by 10 times, while prices fell by as much as 40%. The lack of pricing power for such resource products, I believe, there are direct reasons for the low level of assurance of our national resources, especially copper resources, 73% of China depends on imports, so in this regard, Western countries can control us, of course we In the past few years, some measures have been taken, including the establishment of a copper enterprise consortium in the Asian region, but it is still difficult to fundamentally change. There is another reason, I think it is just a little bit of self-discipline in our corporate industry.
It should be said that the restructuring of enterprises in the past few years has also achieved great results, and now our concentration of enterprises has increased. In particular, several central enterprises have acquired many local enterprises, so the relative concentration of enterprises has also appeared in enterprises with assets of more than 100 billion, and more and more enterprises with more than 30 billion and more than 10 billion.
Because this revitalization plan is a three-year period, it is not only connecting the 11th Five-Year Plan, but also laying the foundation for the implementation of the new 12th Five-Year Plan. Therefore, after three years of hard work, I believe that the concentration of the industry will be further Improve, will basically eliminate backward production capacity, energy-saving emission reduction will make breakthrough progress, and the level of resource assurance will be further improved. The implementation of this plan will lay a solid foundation for the sustainable development of China's non-ferrous metals industry.
(The author is the president of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association. According to the program, CCTV Economic Channel broadcasted at 18:05 on the evening of the 16th.)
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